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SV Tasmania Berlin vs Mahlsdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Tasmania Berlin play Mahlsdorf in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SV Tasmania Berlin averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Mahlsdorf averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, SV Tasmania Berlin won 3, Mahlsdorf won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for SV Tasmania Berlin and 1.13 for Mahlsdorf. This points to a SV Tasmania Berlin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
SV Tasmania Berlin
15%
Draws
33%
Mahlsdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Tasmania Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • SV Tasmania Berlin picked up more points recently compared to Mahlsdorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 21%
Mahlsdorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Tasmania Berlin Mahlsdorf
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 20 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.67 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs SV Tasmania Berlin
0:5
Nov 28, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Mahlsdorf
3:0
Mar 14, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Mahlsdorf
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Mahlsdorf vs SV Tasmania Berlin
0:2
Apr 21, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Mahlsdorf
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Tasmania Berlin 51 / 100
Mahlsdorf 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Tasmania Berlin Mahlsdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SV Tasmania Berlin or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SV Tasmania Berlin attacking → ← attacking Mahlsdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Tasmania Berlin scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Mahlsdorf let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

SV Tasmania Berlin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mahlsdorf lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 42
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SV Tasmania Berlin30221785:3267
2Lichtenberg30194777:4561
3Hansa Rostock II30183966:4957
4TSG Neustrelitz30165962:3853
5Klosterfelde30157859:4352
6Siedenbollentin30138959:5947
7Mahlsdorf301371050:4946
8TUS Makkabi301421457:5544
9Wismar301251356:5541
10Sparta Lichtenberg301231577:7239
11Rathenow309101141:4737
12TB Berlin301061444:5836
13Berliner AK 07301131650:6636
14Dynamo Schwerin307101341:4731
15Croatia Berlin30542139:8119
16Viktoria Berlin30342342:10913