Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026

Sparta Lichtenberg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SV Tasmania Berlin play Sparta Lichtenberg in the Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026. SV Tasmania Berlin are favorites here. Recently, SV Tasmania Berlin averaged 2.84 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Sparta Lichtenberg averaged 2.52 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, SV Tasmania Berlin won 2, Sparta Lichtenberg won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for SV Tasmania Berlin and 2.06 for Sparta Lichtenberg. This points to a SV Tasmania Berlin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

SV Tasmania Berlin

15%

Draws

29%

Sparta Lichtenberg

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Tasmania Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

SV Tasmania Berlin picked up more points recently compared to Sparta Lichtenberg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Sparta Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SV Tasmania Berlin	Sparta Lichtenberg
Matches Played	32	27
Wins	23	10
Draws	0	3
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	2.84	2.52
Goals Conceded	1.34	2.52
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Sparta Lichtenberg vs SV Tasmania Berlin

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Dec 14, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

SV Tasmania Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

5:0

Apr 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

SV Tasmania Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

Sparta Lichtenberg vs SV Tasmania Berlin

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Jun 1, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord

SV Tasmania Berlin vs Sparta Lichtenberg

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Tasmania Berlin 52 / 100

Sparta Lichtenberg 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SV Tasmania Berlin Sparta Lichtenberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Tasmania Berlin Win (1)

Secondary Pick SV Tasmania Berlin & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SV Tasmania Berlin attacking → ← attacking Sparta Lichtenberg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Tasmania Berlin scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Sparta Lichtenberg let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

SV Tasmania Berlin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Lichtenberg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 33

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SV Tasmania Berlin	30	22	1	7	85:32	67
2	Lichtenberg	30	19	4	7	77:45	61
3	Hansa Rostock II	30	18	3	9	66:49	57
4	TSG Neustrelitz	30	16	5	9	62:38	53
5	Klosterfelde	30	15	7	8	59:43	52
6	Siedenbollentin	30	13	8	9	59:59	47
7	Mahlsdorf	30	13	7	10	50:49	46
8	TUS Makkabi	30	14	2	14	57:55	44
9	Wismar	30	12	5	13	56:55	41
10	Sparta Lichtenberg	30	12	3	15	77:72	39
11	Rathenow	30	9	10	11	41:47	37
12	TB Berlin	30	10	6	14	44:58	36
13	Berliner AK 07	30	11	3	16	50:66	36
14	Dynamo Schwerin	30	7	10	13	41:47	31
15	Croatia Berlin	30	5	4	21	39:81	19
16	Viktoria Berlin	30	3	4	23	42:109	13