Sport Picks

Aruba

Division di Honor 2008/2009

La Fama

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SV Trupial play La Fama in the Division di Honor 2008/2009. La Fama are favorites here. Recently, SV Trupial averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. La Fama averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, SV Trupial won 0, La Fama won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2009 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for SV Trupial and 2.37 for La Fama. This points to a La Fama double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

SV Trupial

15%

Draws

71%

La Fama

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Fama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

SV Trupial picked up more points recently compared to La Fama.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 2.37 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

SV Trupial Clean Sheet 10%

La Fama Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SV Trupial	La Fama
Matches Played	18	41
Wins	2	22
Draws	3	6
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	0.72	2.63
Goals Conceded	2.83	1.46

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 Division di Honor

La Fama vs SV Trupial

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Oct 18, 2008 Division di Honor

SV Trupial vs La Fama

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Trupial 15 / 100

La Fama 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SV Trupial La Fama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fama Win (2)

Secondary Pick La Fama & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SV Trupial attacking → ← attacking La Fama

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Trupial scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

La Fama let in goals in 73% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

SV Trupial went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

La Fama lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 72

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Britannia	18	13	1	4	59:16	40
2	Estrella	18	11	4	3	46:20	37
3	Racing Club Aruba	18	11	1	6	42:20	34
4	La Fama	18	9	5	4	36:18	32
5	River Plate	18	9	5	4	36:21	32
6	Deportivo Nacional	18	6	7	5	27:25	25
7	SV Dakota	18	5	6	7	26:33	21
8	Sport Boys	18	4	4	10	11:44	16
9	SV Trupial	18	2	3	13	13:51	9
10	Jong Aruba	18	1	2	15	17:65	5