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Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL Svay Rieng Stadium, Svay Rieng
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svay Rieng host Boeung Ket in the CPL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Svay Rieng have averaged 2.61 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Boeung Ket's 1.64 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Boeung Ket slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.94 - 2.13) back Svay Rieng to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Svay Rieng
20%
Draws
33%
Boeung Ket
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svay Rieng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Svay Rieng carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Svay Rieng a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%
Boeung Ket Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svay Rieng Boeung Ket
Matches Played 41 33
Wins 25 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.61 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket
3:2
May 7, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svay Rieng 56 / 100
Boeung Ket 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svay Rieng Boeung Ket

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svay Rieng found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (41 games).

Boeung Ket has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Svay Rieng remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Svay Rieng VS Boeung Ket
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svay Rieng

(Home)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
Page 1 of 9

Boeung Ket

(Away)
19 Sept
Boeung Ket
1 : 2
Visakha
06 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
3 : 3
Boeung Ket
20 May
Svay Rieng
3 : 2
Boeung Ket
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
07 May
Svay Rieng
2 : 3
Boeung Ket
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Visakha 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
3 NagaWorld 3 2 1 0 8:6 7
4 Dangkor Senchey 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
5 Moi Kompong Dewa 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
6 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
7 Phnom Penh Crown 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Angkor Tiger 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
9 Boeung Ket 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
10 Life FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
11 Tiffy Army 3 0 0 3 5:15 0
Promotion - CPL (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL (Relegation Group)