Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket

Cambodia Cambodia

Hun Sen Cup Svay Rieng Stadium, Svay Rieng
Wed, May 20, 2026
3 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bevan M.
50' Event
Odawara T.
99' Event
Patrick

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Svay Rieng
20%
Draws
33%
Boeung Ket
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svay Rieng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svay Rieng come out ahead of Boeung Ket on wins alone.
  • Model gives Svay Rieng a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Svay Rieng have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boeung Ket, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 10%
Boeung Ket Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svay Rieng Boeung Ket
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.33 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket
3:2
May 7, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Boeung Ket
2:3
Apr 29, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Svay Rieng
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
2 Goals
Assists Leader Odawara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Boeung Ket Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svay Rieng 65 / 100
Boeung Ket 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svay Rieng Boeung Ket

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svay Rieng scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Boeung Ket conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Svay Rieng has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Svay Rieng VS Boeung Ket
1.88 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svay Rieng

(Home)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
Page 1 of 7

Boeung Ket

(Away)
19 Sept
Boeung Ket
1 : 2
Visakha
06 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
3 : 3
Boeung Ket
20 May
Svay Rieng
3 : 2
Boeung Ket
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
07 May
Svay Rieng
2 : 3
Boeung Ket
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tiffy Army 0
Boeung Ket 4
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 3
Svay Rieng 5
NagaWorld 2
Visakha 6
Dangkor Senchey 4
Phnom Penh Crown 2
Semi-finals
Boeung Ket 3
Svay Rieng 4
Visakha 7
Dangkor Senchey 1
Final
Svay Rieng 5
Visakha 4