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Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa Prediction & H2H Stats

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 Svay Rieng Stadium, Svay Rieng
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
San K.
16' Event
Kim S.
41'
Shields C.

AI Match Summary

The CPL 2025/2026 game between Svay Rieng and Moi Kompong Dewa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svay Rieng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Svay Rieng
20%
Draws
23%
Moi Kompong Dewa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svay Rieng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svay Rieng come out ahead of Moi Kompong Dewa on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Svay Rieng taking it.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svay Rieng here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 68%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svay Rieng Moi Kompong Dewa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Svay Rieng
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 CPL
Svay Rieng vs Moi Kompong Dewa
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svay Rieng 95 / 100
Moi Kompong Dewa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svay Rieng Moi Kompong Dewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svay Rieng scored in 94% of their last 36 games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Moi Kompong Dewa conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Svay Rieng has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Svay Rieng VS Moi Kompong Dewa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.43
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Svay Rieng

(Home)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
30 Aug
Svay Rieng
2 : 1
Visakha
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Moi Kompong Dewa

(Away)
20 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 0
Life FC
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 30 20 4 6 82:36 64
2 Phnom Penh Crown 30 17 5 8 53:36 56
3 Angkor Tiger 30 17 5 8 71:41 56
4 Boeung Ket 30 15 8 7 44:29 53
5 NagaWorld 30 12 7 11 42:39 43
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 30 11 8 11 43:45 41
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