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Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Cherno More II Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa 2014 host Cherno More II in the Third League - North-East. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Svetkavitsa 2014 at 1.07 goals for, 1.31 against; Cherno More II at 2 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Cherno More II slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.25) back Cherno More II to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Svetkavitsa 2014
20%
Draws
47%
Cherno More II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cherno More II come out ahead of Svetkavitsa 2014 on wins alone.
  • Cherno More II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 19%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa 2014 Cherno More II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Cherno More II
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Svetkavitsa 2014
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 2014 24 / 100
Cherno More II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa 2014 Cherno More II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cherno More II has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Svetkavitsa 2014 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Svetkavitsa 2014 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa 2014 VS Cherno More II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa 2014

(Home)
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0
Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More II

(Away)
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
3 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
4 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
6 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
7 Cherno More II 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
8 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
9 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
10 Septemvri Tervel 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 6 2 2 2 12:14 8
12 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
13 Fratria II 7 2 0 5 7:23 6
14 Devnya 2005 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 7 0 1 6 12:24 1
17 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)