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Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Cherno More II Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Svetkavitsa 2014 and Cherno More II finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cherno More II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cherno More II come out ahead of Svetkavitsa 2014 on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Svetkavitsa 2014 | Cherno More II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Cherno More II
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Svetkavitsa 2014
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Svetkavitsa 2014 32 / 100
Cherno More II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Svetkavitsa 2014 Cherno More II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More II let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Svetkavitsa 2014 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Svetkavitsa 2014 scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Svetkavitsa 2014 VS Cherno More II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Svetkavitsa 2014
(Home) 26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1 Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1 Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Aug
Svetkavitsa 2014
4 : 0 Fratria II
23 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 0 Cherno More II
Page 1 of 3
Cherno More II
(Away) 26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Cherno More II
23 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 0 Cherno More II
13 May
Spartak Varna II
0 : 3 Cherno More II
25 Apr
Fratria II
1 : 1 Cherno More II
16 Apr
Benkovski
0 : 2 Cherno More II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
