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Svetkavitsa vs Cherno More II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa play Cherno More II in the Third League - North-East. Cherno More II are favorites here. Recently, Svetkavitsa averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. Cherno More II averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Svetkavitsa won 0, Cherno More II won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Svetkavitsa and 2.25 for Cherno More II. This points to a Cherno More II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
73%
Cherno More II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherno More II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Svetkavitsa picked up more points recently compared to Cherno More II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Cherno More II Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Cherno More II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 29 8
Goals Scored 0.2 2.07
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Cherno More II
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Svetkavitsa
5:1
May 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Cherno More II vs Svetkavitsa
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Cherno More II
0:1
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Cherno More II
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 13 / 100
Cherno More II 69 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Cherno More II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cherno More II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cherno More II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Svetkavitsa attacking → ← attacking Cherno More II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svetkavitsa scored in 13% of their last 30 games.

Cherno More II let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Svetkavitsa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cherno More II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291