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Svetkavitsa vs Olympic Varna Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Sat, May 30, 2026
0 - 3
02:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa host Olympic Varna in the Third League - North-East 2025/2026. This has Olympic Varna written all over it on paper. Svetkavitsa have averaged 0.2 scored and 3.67 conceded recently, against Olympic Varna's 1.94 scored and 2.65 conceded. Past meetings favor Olympic Varna slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.85 - 2.50) back Olympic Varna to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Olympic Varna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Svetkavitsa haven't matched Olympic Varna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olympic Varna a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Olympic Varna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 29 17
Goals Scored 0.2 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.67 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Olympic Varna
0:3
Dec 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Svetkavitsa
11:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Olympic Varna 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Olympic Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic Varna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Varna has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Olympic Varna lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Svetkavitsa scored in 13% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS Olympic Varna
0 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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Olympic Varna

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3
Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)