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Svilengrad 1921 vs Brestnik

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Svilengrad 1921 and Brestnik finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svilengrad 1921.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Svilengrad 1921
15%
Draws
39%
Brestnik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svilengrad 1921

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Svilengrad 1921 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Svilengrad 1921's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Svilengrad 1921 Clean Sheet 20%
Brestnik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svilengrad 1921 Brestnik
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2013 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Svilengrad 1921
2:1
Nov 10, 2012 Third League - South-East
Svilengrad 1921 vs Brestnik
3:0
Mar 4, 2012 Third League - South-East
Svilengrad 1921 vs Brestnik
1:0
Aug 21, 2011 Third League - South-East
Brestnik vs Svilengrad 1921
1:1
Mar 17, 2010 B PFG East
Svilengrad 1921 vs Brestnik
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svilengrad 1921 85 / 100
Brestnik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svilengrad 1921 Brestnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svilengrad 1921 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svilengrad 1921's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Brestnik has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Svilengrad 1921 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Svilengrad 1921 VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svilengrad 1921

(Home)
27 Jul
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
29 Feb
Svilengrad 1921
1 : 1
Maritsa Plovdiv
23 Feb
Rodopa Smolyan
3 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
23 Nov
Radnevo
2 : 0
Svilengrad 1921
16 Nov
Svilengrad 1921
2 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 4

Brestnik

(Away)
01 Jun
Levski Karlovo
7 : 2
Brestnik
25 May
Brestnik
1 : 3
PFC Burgas
18 May
Zagorets
2 : 3
Brestnik
15 May
Brestnik
2 : 1
Svilengrad 1921
09 May
Nesebar
2 : 1
Brestnik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)