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Svoge vs Hebar Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svoge host Hebar in the Vtora liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Svoge at 0.73 goals for, 1.19 against; Hebar at 1.54 for, 1.54 against. Past meetings favor Svoge slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.75) back Svoge to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Svoge
20%
Draws
51%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hebar have won more games recently than Svoge.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svoge here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Svoge Clean Sheet 12%
Hebar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Hebar
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Hebar vs Svoge
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Svoge
0:3
Oct 14, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Svoge vs Hebar
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 19 / 100
Hebar 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hebar conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Svoge's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Solid form: Svoge remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Hebar
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)