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Svoge vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Ivanov K. In: Todorov A.
Out: Ivanov K.
26'
Chavorski T.
46'
Sub
Aleksandrov D. In: Dadakov M.
Out: Aleksandrov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Svoge and Hebar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svoge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Svoge
35%
Draws
40%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Hebar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hebar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Svoge have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Svoge Clean Sheet 17%
Hebar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Hebar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Hebar vs Svoge
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Svoge
0:3
Oct 14, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Svoge vs Hebar
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svoge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitrov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hebar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 15 / 100
Hebar 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hebar conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Svoge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Svoge found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Hebar
0.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
13% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
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Hebar

(Away)
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)