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Svoge vs Hebar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
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Match Events

20'
Sub
Ivanov K. In: Todorov A.
Out: Ivanov K.
26'
Chavorski T.
46'
Sub
Aleksandrov D. In: Dadakov M.
Out: Aleksandrov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Svoge and Hebar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svoge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Svoge
20%
Draws
0%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svoge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Hebar haven't matched Svoge's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Svoge's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Svoge have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Svoge Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Hebar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Hebar vs Svoge
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Svoge
0:3
Oct 14, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Svoge vs Hebar
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Hebar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svoge Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimitrov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hebar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 76 / 100
Hebar 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Hebar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hebar let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Svoge remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Hebar
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
02 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0
Svoge
25 Jul
Svoge
2 : 2
Montana
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
11 Jul
Svoge
0 : 2
Vihren
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3
Vihren
24 Jul
Beroe
2 : 1
Hebar
07 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 1
Hebar
24 Jun
Hebar
0 : 1
FC Ballkani
23 May
Svoge
1 : 0
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)