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Svoge vs Nesebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cabanelas D. In: Statev S.
Out: Cabanelas D.
46'
Sub
Nhaga K. In: Boyanov M.
Out: Nhaga K.
46'
Sub
Mikayla F. In: Ivanov P.
Out: Mikayla F.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Svoge and Nesebar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nesebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Svoge
30%
Draws
47%
Nesebar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Svoge haven't matched Nesebar's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Nesebar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Svoge Clean Sheet 18%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Nesebar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.79 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Nesebar
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Nesebar
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Svoge
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svoge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nesebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Statev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 32 / 100
Nesebar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Nesebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nesebar conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Nesebar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Svoge found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Nesebar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
02 Nov
Svoge
1 : 1
Ludogorets II
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

Nesebar

(Away)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1
Nesebar
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)