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Stadium Background

Svoge vs Spartak Pleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svoge host Spartak Pleven in the Vtora liga. This one's hard to separate. Svoge have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Spartak Pleven's 1.1 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Svoge have won 2 to Spartak Pleven's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.19, favoring Spartak Pleven. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Svoge
30%
Draws
58%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven have won more games recently than Svoge.
  • Model gives Spartak Pleven a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Svoge Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Svoge
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Spartak Pleven
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Svoge
0:1
Aug 11, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Svoge
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 28 / 100
Spartak Pleven 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Pleven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartak Pleven conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Svoge's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Svoge has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Spartak Pleven
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
02 Nov
Svoge
1 : 1
Ludogorets II
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
10 Oct
Svoge
1 : 3
Hebar
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Pleven

(Away)
02 Nov
Montana
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
23 Oct
Spartak Pleven
2 : 1
Etar
18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
10 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 1
Spartak Pleven
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)