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Svyturys Marijampole vs FK Babrungas

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2016
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Match Events

6' Event
15' Event
32' Event

AI Match Summary

The Lithuanian Cup 2016 game between Svyturys Marijampole and FK Babrungas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svyturys Marijampole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Svyturys Marijampole
6%
Draws
90%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Svyturys Marijampole haven't matched FK Babrungas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FK Babrungas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Lithuanian Cup 2016 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Svyturys Marijampole Clean Sheet 10%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svyturys Marijampole FK Babrungas
Matches Played 18 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 0 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2016 Lithuanian Cup
Svyturys Marijampole vs FK Babrungas
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svyturys Marijampole 10 / 100
FK Babrungas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svyturys Marijampole FK Babrungas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Svyturys Marijampole scored in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

FK Babrungas has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Svyturys Marijampole went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Babrungas
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atlantas7
Ateitis Vilnius0
Navigatoriai Vilnius1
SFK Rotalis3
Koralas Klaipeda5
Elektrenu Versme0
Dainava Alytus3
Dziugas Telsiai5
SSPC FSK Radviliskis4
Eurostandartas2
Saulininkas Siauliai1
Adiada Siauliai2
Palanga6
FA Dainava1
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Zalgiris6
FC Stumbras2
Granitas Vilnius0
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Panevezys1
Banga3
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis2
Utenis0
Nevezis Kedainiai2
Svyturys Marijampole3
Krusa Basica Vilnius1
Silute1
FK Babrungas2
Riteriai2
Lygis Kaunas0
Jonava0
Suduva1
1/8-finals
Atlantas4
SFK Rotalis0
Koralas Klaipeda0
Dziugas Telsiai1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis3
Adiada Siauliai2
Palanga0
Zalgiris4
FC Stumbras2
FK Panevezys0
Banga1
Nevezis Kedainiai2
Svyturys Marijampole2
FK Babrungas1
Riteriai0
Suduva4
Quarter-finals
Atlantas2
Dziugas Telsiai1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis0
Zalgiris7
FC Stumbras3
Nevezis Kedainiai0
Svyturys Marijampole1
Suduva10
Semi-finals
Atlantas1
Zalgiris2
FC Stumbras0
Suduva2
Final
Zalgiris2
Suduva0