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SVZW Wierden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
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AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between SVZW Wierden and ADO 20 Heemskerk finished 4-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SVZW Wierden
15%
Draws
85%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ADO 20 Heemskerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ADO 20 Heemskerk come out ahead of SVZW Wierden on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ADO 20 Heemskerk's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SVZW Wierden Clean Sheet 10%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SVZW Wierden ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 3.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
SVZW Wierden vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
4:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SVZW Wierden 10 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SVZW Wierden ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADO 20 Heemskerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.

SVZW Wierden's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

ADO 20 Heemskerk has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

ADO 20 Heemskerk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SVZW Wierden VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SVZW Wierden

(Home)
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0
SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 4

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:9 20
5 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
6 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
7 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
8 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
14 TOGB 9 2 2 5 15:21 8
15 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)