Sport Picks
SVZW Wierden vs Sparta Nijkerk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
Sparta Nijkerk in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Nijkerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sparta Nijkerk have won more games recently than SVZW Wierden.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Nijkerk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SVZW Wierden Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SVZW Wierden | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 28 |
| Wins | 1 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 2.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.41 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
SVZW Wierden vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SVZW Wierden 10 / 100
Sparta Nijkerk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SVZW Wierden Sparta Nijkerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SVZW Wierden found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).
Sparta Nijkerk let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Sparta Nijkerk's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
SVZW Wierden VS Sparta Nijkerk
1 Goals Scored 2.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
SVZW Wierden
(Home) 10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0 SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0 SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 4
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
22 Aug
SVZW Wierden
1 : 1 VV DOVO
08 Jul
SVZW Wierden
1 : 6 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 2
Sparta Nijkerk
(Away) 10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2 VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
30 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
