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SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein game between SW Essen and Germania Ratingen finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germania Ratingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
SW Essen
35%
Draws
40%
Germania Ratingen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Germania Ratingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Germania Ratingen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
Germania Ratingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Germania Ratingen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 12
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.46 2
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen
0:3
May 1, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen
2:0
Apr 25, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 34 / 100
Germania Ratingen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Germania Ratingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germania Ratingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Germania Ratingen conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: SW Essen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Germania Ratingen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
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Germania Ratingen

(Away)
02 Oct
Germania Ratingen
2 : 0
Scherpenberg
27 Sept
Baumberg
1 : 2
Germania Ratingen
20 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 4
Dusseldorf II
11 Sept
Holzheim
3 : 3
Germania Ratingen
04 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 1
SC St.Tonis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 8 7 1 0 31:10 22
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Dusseldorf II 9 5 2 2 20:10 17
4 Solingen-Wald 9 5 0 4 19:22 15
5 SC St.Tonis 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
6 Baumberg 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
7 Uerdingen 9 4 1 4 21:12 13
8 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
9 Juchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 18:18 13
10 Dingden 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
11 Germania Ratingen 8 2 5 1 14:14 11
12 FC Monheim 8 2 3 3 15:13 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 11:18 8
14 Wuppertaler 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
15 SW Essen 8 1 3 4 11:18 6
16 Buderich 9 1 3 5 12:26 6
17 Holzheim 8 1 1 6 10:28 4
18 Meerbusch 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)