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Stadium Background

SW Essen vs SSVg Velbert Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SSVg Velbert in this Oberliga Niederrhein matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SSVg Velbert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SW Essen
20%
Draws
56%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SSVg Velbert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • SSVg Velbert have won more games recently than SW Essen.
  • Win probability leans SSVg Velbert's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SSVg Velbert have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs SSVg Velbert
1:4
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs SSVg Velbert
0:0
Oct 16, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen
2:0
Apr 23, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs SSVg Velbert
0:3
Oct 15, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert vs SW Essen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 10 / 100
SSVg Velbert 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSVg Velbert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SW Essen scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

SSVg Velbert let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SW Essen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS SSVg Velbert
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
27 Sept
SSVg Velbert
5 : 1
Dingden
20 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
SSVg Velbert
12 Sept
SSVg Velbert
2 : 1
Buderich
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 7 6 1 0 28:8 19
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Dusseldorf II 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
4 SC St.Tonis 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
5 Baumberg 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
6 Uerdingen 8 4 1 3 19:9 13
7 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 18:18 13
9 Dingden 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
10 Germania Ratingen 8 2 5 1 14:14 11
11 FC Monheim 8 2 3 3 15:13 9
12 Solingen-Wald 7 3 0 4 12:17 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 11:18 8
14 Wuppertaler 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
15 SW Essen 8 1 3 4 11:18 6
16 Buderich 7 1 2 4 8:21 5
17 Meerbusch 7 0 2 5 2:14 2
18 Holzheim 7 0 1 6 7:26 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)