Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SW Essen vs Uerdingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Niederrhein matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SW Essen
30%
Draws
41%
Uerdingen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uerdingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • SW Essen haven't matched Uerdingen's recent run of results.
  • Uerdingen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
Uerdingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Uerdingen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Uerdingen
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Uerdingen
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs SW Essen
0:1
May 8, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Uerdingen
6:4
Nov 4, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs SW Essen
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 10 / 100
Uerdingen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Uerdingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uerdingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

SW Essen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Uerdingen conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

SW Essen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Uerdingen
1.75 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4
SSVg Velbert
14 Aug
Scherpenberg
5 : 3
SW Essen
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Uerdingen

(Away)
19 Sept
Uerdingen
0 : 1
Sonsbeck
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
09 Sept
Uerdingen
2 : 1
Dusseldorf II
04 Sept
Uerdingen
6 : 1
Scherpenberg
30 Aug
Baumberg
2 : 1
Uerdingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 6 5 1 0 25:8 16
2 Baumberg 6 4 2 0 17:10 14
3 Dusseldorf II 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
4 SC St.Tonis 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
5 Uerdingen 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
6 Sonsbeck 6 2 4 0 8:5 10
7 SSVg Velbert 5 3 0 2 12:11 9
8 FC Monheim 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
9 Dingden 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Solingen-Wald 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
11 Germania Ratingen 5 0 5 0 9:9 5
12 Scherpenberg 5 1 2 2 8:12 5
13 SW Essen 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
14 Buderich 5 1 2 2 8:14 5
15 Wuppertaler 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
16 Juchen-Garzweiler 5 1 1 3 9:14 4
17 Meerbusch 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
18 Holzheim 6 0 1 5 7:23 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)