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Stadium Background

SW Essen vs Uerdingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Niederrhein matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
SW Essen
20%
Draws
64%
Uerdingen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uerdingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SW Essen haven't matched Uerdingen's recent run of results.
  • Uerdingen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 11%
Uerdingen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Uerdingen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Uerdingen
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Uerdingen
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs SW Essen
0:1
May 8, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Uerdingen
6:4
Nov 4, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Uerdingen vs SW Essen
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 10 / 100
Uerdingen 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Uerdingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uerdingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

SW Essen found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Uerdingen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Uerdingen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Uerdingen
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
24 Oct
SW Essen
1 : 4
Schonnebeck
16 Oct
Wuppertaler
1 : 0
SW Essen
10 Oct
SW Essen
0 : 3
Germania Ratingen
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
Page 1 of 6

Uerdingen

(Away)
24 Oct
Uerdingen
0 : 1
FC Monheim
18 Oct
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 1
Uerdingen
09 Oct
Uerdingen
2 : 3
Solingen-Wald
02 Oct
Uerdingen
1 : 2
SSVg Velbert
26 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 3
Uerdingen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 11 9 2 0 42:15 29
2 SSVg Velbert 11 9 0 2 32:18 27
3 Dusseldorf II 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Baumberg 11 5 4 2 23:20 19
5 FC Monheim 11 5 3 3 22:15 18
6 SC St.Tonis 11 5 3 3 21:16 18
7 Juchen-Garzweiler 11 5 2 4 23:23 17
8 Wuppertaler 11 5 1 5 18:10 16
9 Sonsbeck 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
10 Dingden 11 5 1 5 15:16 16
11 Germania Ratingen 11 3 6 2 22:21 15
12 Solingen-Wald 11 5 0 6 22:27 15
13 Uerdingen 11 4 2 5 22:14 14
14 Scherpenberg 11 3 2 6 15:25 11
15 Buderich 11 1 4 6 12:29 7
16 SW Essen 11 1 3 7 12:26 6
17 Meerbusch 11 1 3 7 12:26 6
18 Holzheim 11 1 1 9 12:37 4
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)