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Swallows FC vs Cape Umoya United

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Mahlatsi K.
69'
Ngobeni T.

AI Match Summary

The Nedbank Cup 2020/2021 game between Swallows FC and Cape Umoya United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swallows FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Swallows FC
33%
Draws
40%
Cape Umoya United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cape Umoya United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Swallows FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cape Umoya United a 40% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Nedbank Cup 2020/2021 game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Swallows FC Clean Sheet 21%
Cape Umoya United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swallows FC Cape Umoya United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Nedbank Cup
Swallows FC vs Cape Umoya United
1:0
Jan 4, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Swallows FC vs Cape Umoya United
2:1
Aug 23, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Cape Umoya United vs Swallows FC
1:0
Jan 21, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Cape Umoya United vs Swallows FC
1:1
Sep 1, 2018 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Swallows FC vs Cape Umoya United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swallows FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahlatsi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Cape Umoya United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swallows FC 29 / 100
Cape Umoya United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swallows FC Cape Umoya United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swallows FC's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cape Umoya United has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Swallows FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swallows FC VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns-
TBD-
TBD-
Stellenbosch FC-
Polokwane City-
TBD-
Pretoria Callies2
Steenberg United3
Durban City-
TBD-
Sekhukhune2
Jomo Cosmos1
Orlando Pirates-
TBD-
TBD-
Uthongathi-
Jomo Cosmos-
TBD-
TBD-
Black Leopards-
Golden Arrows-
TBD-
TBD-
AmaZulu-
Marumo Gallants-
TBD-
TBD-
Supersport Utd-
Swallows FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Cape Umoya United-
Bizana Pondo Chiefs-
TBD-
TBD-
Cape Town All Stars-
Baroka-
TBD-
Bizana Pondo Chiefs1
Cape Town Spurs2
Pretoria Callies-
TBD-
Cape Town All Stars0
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila1
JDR Stars3
Cape Umoya United2
TBD-
Pretoria U.-
Chippa Utd.-
TBD-
Free State Stars2
Uthongathi0
Cape Town City-
TBD-
TBD-
Royal AM-
TS Galaxy-
TBD-
Polokwane City1
TS Sporting2
Kaizer Chiefs-
TBD-
Richards Bay1
Pretoria U.0
1/16-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Stellenbosch FC2
Polokwane City2
Steenberg United0
Durban City2
Sekhukhune1
Orlando Pirates1
Uthongathi0
Jomo Cosmos1
Black Leopards2
Golden Arrows1
AmaZulu2
Marumo Gallants1
Supersport Utd0
Swallows FC1
Cape Umoya United0
Bizana Pondo Chiefs1
Cape Town All Stars3
Baroka1
Cape Town Spurs2
Pretoria Callies1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila0
JDR Stars2
Pretoria U.1
Chippa Utd.3
Free State Stars2
Cape Town City4
Royal AM0
TS Galaxy0
TS Sporting1
Kaizer Chiefs1
Richards Bay2
1/8-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns4
Polokwane City0
Durban City1
Orlando Pirates3
Black Leopards1
AmaZulu0
Marumo Gallants3
Swallows FC2
Cape Town All Stars4
Cape Town Spurs3
Pretoria Callies1
JDR Stars0
Chippa Utd.2
Cape Town City1
TS Sporting1
Richards Bay2
Quarter-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns4
Orlando Pirates1
Black Leopards0
Marumo Gallants2
Cape Town All Stars2
Pretoria Callies3
Chippa Utd.2
Richards Bay1
Semi-finals
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Marumo Gallants1
Pretoria Callies0
Chippa Utd.1
Final
Marumo Gallants1
Chippa Utd.0