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Swansea U21 vs Nottingham U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Anisjko D.
66' Event
Jones I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Swansea U21
20%
Draws
48%
Nottingham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nottingham U21 come out ahead of Swansea U21 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U21 Nottingham U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Premier League Cup
Swansea U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:1
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Swansea U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anisjko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U21 31 / 100
Nottingham U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U21 Nottingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swansea U21 scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Swansea U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea U21 VS Nottingham U21
2.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea U21

(Home)
02 May
Norwich U21
1 : 0
Swansea U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
21 Apr
Sheffield Utd U21
2 : 2
Swansea U21
19 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 2
Swansea U21
14 Apr
Fleetwood Town U21
0 : 1
Swansea U21
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2
Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1
Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)