Sport Picks

Wales

FA Cup

Trefelin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pure Swansea play Trefelin in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pure Swansea averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Trefelin averaged 2.84 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Pure Swansea won 1, Trefelin won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 18, 2025 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Pure Swansea and 1.80 for Trefelin. This points to a Trefelin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Pure Swansea

25%

Draws

52%

Trefelin

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Trefelin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Pure Swansea picked up more points recently compared to Trefelin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 11%

Trefelin Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pure Swansea	Trefelin
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	8	24
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	3
Goals Scored	1.17	2.84
Goals Conceded	1.86	0.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 FA Cup

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:6

Mar 25, 2023 Cymru South

Trefelin vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Aug 19, 2022 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

2:4

Feb 12, 2022 Cymru South

Pure Swansea vs Trefelin

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

3:3

Oct 23, 2021 Cymru South

Trefelin vs Pure Swansea

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pure Swansea 23 / 100

Trefelin 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pure Swansea Trefelin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trefelin or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pure Swansea attacking → ← attacking Trefelin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pure Swansea scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Trefelin let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Pure Swansea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trefelin lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 76

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88