Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swansea vs Blackburn

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
O'Riordan C.
21' Event
Vipotnik Z.
35' Event
Jorgensen M.
Assist: Powell B.

AI Match Summary

Swansea in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Swansea
30%
Draws
23%
Blackburn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Blackburn.
  • Model gives Swansea a 47% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Swansea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Blackburn
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.37 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Blackburn
3:1
Sep 30, 2025 Championship
Blackburn vs Swansea
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Blackburn
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Championship
Blackburn vs Swansea
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Championship
Swansea vs Blackburn
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Blackburn Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 95 / 100
Blackburn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Blackburn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swansea scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Blackburn let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Swansea stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Blackburn
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

Blackburn

(Away)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Blackburn
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
05 Sept
Preston
2 : 1
Blackburn
01 Sept
Lincoln City
0 : 0
Blackburn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)