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Swansea vs Blackburn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Eustaquio S.
Assist: Opoku J.
22'
Baradji M.
24'
Sub
Pickering H. In: Beyuku G.
Out: Pickering H.

AI Match Summary

Swansea in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Swansea
15%
Draws
42%
Blackburn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Blackburn.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Swansea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Blackburn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Blackburn
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Blackburn
4:0
Jan 20, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Blackburn
3:1
Sep 30, 2025 Championship
Blackburn vs Swansea
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Blackburn
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Championship
Blackburn vs Swansea
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Eustaquio S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Opoku J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Blackburn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 41 / 100
Blackburn 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Blackburn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Blackburn let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Swansea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Blackburn
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0
Blackburn
24 Oct
QPR
5 : 0
Swansea
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1
Swansea
10 Oct
Swansea
2 : 1
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Blackburn

(Away)
31 Oct
Swansea
4 : 0
Blackburn
24 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 0
Wrexham
17 Oct
West Brom
3 : 2
Blackburn
13 Oct
Bristol City
0 : 1
Blackburn
10 Oct
Blackburn
2 : 1
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 13 8 4 1 30:17 28
2 Swansea 13 8 2 3 20:13 26
3 Wolves 13 7 3 3 23:16 24
4 West Brom 13 7 3 3 19:14 24
5 Southampton 13 8 3 2 28:13 23
6 Birmingham 13 6 5 2 23:13 23
7 Stoke City 13 7 2 4 20:16 23
8 West Ham 13 6 4 3 33:18 22
9 QPR 13 5 5 3 21:16 20
10 Sheffield Utd 13 5 4 4 17:15 19
11 Portsmouth 13 5 4 4 16:15 19
12 Millwall 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
13 Blackburn 13 5 3 5 19:20 18
14 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 15:17 18
15 Norwich 13 5 0 8 23:24 15
16 Lincoln City 13 4 3 6 14:23 15
17 Cardiff 13 3 5 5 19:20 14
18 Wrexham 13 3 5 5 15:19 14
19 Bolton 13 4 2 7 18:26 14
20 Charlton 13 3 5 5 11:21 14
21 Watford 13 3 2 8 12:23 11
22 Burnley 13 1 6 6 17:25 9
23 Derby 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
24 Preston 13 1 2 10 10:27 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)