Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Idah A.
33'
33'
Yeo M. K.
Assist: Just E.
46'
46'
Sub
Key J. In: Lissah F.
Out: Key J.
AI Match Summary
Swansea in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Swansea have won more games recently than Burnley.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Burnley have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swansea | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Burnley
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Burnley
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Championship
Burnley vs Swansea
1:0
Jan 2, 2023 Championship
Swansea vs Burnley
1:2
Oct 15, 2022 Championship
Burnley vs Swansea
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Idah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yeo M. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Burnley Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramazani L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swansea 85 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swansea Burnley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Swansea scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Swansea stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Swansea VS Burnley
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Swansea
(Home) 12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3 Swansea
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 4
Burnley
(Away) 12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
29 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
29 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Burnley
26 Aug
Bradford City
1 : 0 Burnley
23 Aug
West Brom
3 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
