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Swansea vs Holstein Kiel

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
2 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ronald
19' Event
Zec D.
45' Event
Idah A.

AI Match Summary

Swansea host Holstein Kiel in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Swansea have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Holstein Kiel's 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Swansea have won 0 to Holstein Kiel's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Swansea to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Swansea
33%
Draws
27%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Holstein Kiel.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Swansea vs Holstein Kiel
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Zec D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alidou F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 40 / 100
Holstein Kiel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Holstein Kiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Swansea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Holstein Kiel
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
02 May
Swansea
3 : 1
Charlton
25 Apr
Norwich
1 : 1
Swansea
21 Apr
QPR
1 : 2
Swansea
18 Apr
Swansea
1 : 2
Southampton
11 Apr
Leicester
0 : 1
Swansea
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Holstein Kiel

(Away)
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Sonderjyske
04 Jul
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Fredericia
17 May
Dresden
2 : 1
Holstein Kiel
09 May
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Magdeburg
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