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Swansea vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ronald
19' Event
Zec D.
45' Event
Idah A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Swansea
30%
Draws
23%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea lately — more wins on the board than Holstein Kiel.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Swansea vs Holstein Kiel
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald
1 Goals
Assists Leader Idah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Zec D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alidou F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 85 / 100
Holstein Kiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holstein Kiel conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Swansea's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Swansea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Holstein Kiel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
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Holstein Kiel

(Away)
19 Sept
Holstein Kiel
1 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
30 Aug
Magdeburg
2 : 0
Holstein Kiel
22 Aug
Munich 1860
0 : 2
Holstein Kiel
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