Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
James J.
Assist: Winks H.
58'
58'
Sub
De Cordova-Reid B. In: Ramsey A.
Out: De Cordova-Reid B.
65'
65'
Sub
Vipotnik Z. In: Idah A.
Out: Vipotnik Z.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Swansea and Leicester finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leicester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Swansea come out ahead of Leicester on wins alone.
- Swansea are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Leicester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swansea | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Leicester vs Swansea
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Leicester
1:3
Jan 30, 2024 Championship
Leicester vs Swansea
3:1
Oct 21, 2023 Championship
Swansea vs Leicester
1:3
Feb 3, 2018 Premier League
Leicester vs Swansea
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swansea Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Leicester Compare
Top Goalscorer James J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fatawu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swansea 50 / 100
Leicester 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swansea Leicester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swansea found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Leicester let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Swansea has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Swansea VS Leicester
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Swansea
(Home) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 4
Leicester
(Away) 22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1 Fulham U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
29 Aug
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 Leicester
25 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 1 Leicester
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
