Sport Picks
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
England
Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea 
Match Events
16'
16'
Hamer G.
23'
23'
Ronald
45'
45'
Campbell T.
AI Match Summary
Swansea in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Sheffield Utd at 1.54 per game, Swansea at 1.39.
- Model gives Swansea a 34% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swansea | Sheffield Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Swansea
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Sheffield Utd
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Swansea
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Ronald
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sheffield Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swansea 50 / 100
Sheffield Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swansea Sheffield Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swansea found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Sheffield Utd conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Swansea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Swansea VS Sheffield Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Swansea
(Home) 29 Aug
Derby
0 : 3 Swansea
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
15 Aug
Stoke City
1 : 2 Swansea
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1 Birmingham
01 Aug
Swansea
1 : 0 Leganes
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1 Birmingham
01 Aug
Swansea
1 : 0 Leganes
24 Jul
Swansea
2 : 0 Udinese
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2 Bochum
Page 1 of 3
Sheffield Utd
(Away) 29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2 Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
15 Aug
Sheffield Utd
0 : 0 Birmingham
09 Aug
Mansfield
0 : 3 Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Cardiff
2 : 2 Sheffield Utd
25 Aug
Blackburn
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
09 Aug
Mansfield
0 : 3 Sheffield Utd
01 Aug
Bochum
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
