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Swansea W vs Aberystwyth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swansea W host Aberystwyth W in the Adran Premier Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Swansea W at 2.76 goals for, 1.86 against; Aberystwyth W at 1.28 for, 2.93 against. Past meetings favor Swansea W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 3.25 vs 1.56, favoring Swansea W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Swansea W
15%
Draws
12%
Aberystwyth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Swansea W lately — more wins on the board than Aberystwyth W.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Swansea W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Swansea W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 15%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Aberystwyth W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 0 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.76 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Swansea W
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Swansea W
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Aberystwyth W
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Aberystwyth W
4:1
Apr 6, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Swansea W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 84 / 100
Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Aberystwyth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swansea W scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Aberystwyth W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Aberystwyth W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Aberystwyth W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 4.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea W

(Home)
18 Oct
Swansea W
0 : 3
Briton Ferry W
11 Oct
Swansea W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
04 Oct
Barry Town W
0 : 4
Swansea W
27 Sept
TNS W
4 : 3
Swansea W
20 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
Page 1 of 6

Aberystwyth W

(Away)
18 Oct
Aberystwyth W
2 : 2
Barry Town W
11 Oct
Aberystwyth W
0 : 10
Cardiff City W
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wrexham W 7 6 0 1 40:7 18
2 TNS W 7 6 0 1 28:8 18
3 Cardiff City W 7 5 0 2 28:11 15
4 Swansea W 7 4 0 3 15:17 12
5 Briton Ferry W 7 3 1 3 19:17 10
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 7 1 2 4 7:23 5
7 Barry Town W 7 0 2 5 7:32 2
8 Aberystwyth W 7 0 1 6 4:33 1
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)