Sport Picks

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Swansea W vs Cardiff City W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Deacon A.
64' Event
Evans H.
81' Event
Cook M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Women game between Swansea W and Cardiff City W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Swansea W
40%
Draws
29%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff City W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
  • Cardiff City W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 19 23
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 3.25 3.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Deacon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cook M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 30 / 100
Cardiff City W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Cardiff City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swansea W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Cardiff City W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Swansea W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Cardiff City W
3.25 Goals Scored 3.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea W

(Home)
05 Apr
Wrexham W
1 : 2
Swansea W
29 Mar
Swansea W
0 : 1
TNS W
25 Mar
Swansea W
1 : 7
Wrexham W
22 Mar
Cardiff City W
2 : 1
Swansea W
15 Mar
Swansea W
1 : 2
Cardiff City W
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Cardiff City W

(Away)
05 Apr
Cardiff City W
1 : 1
TNS W
29 Mar
Wrexham W
4 : 1
Cardiff City W
22 Mar
Cardiff City W
2 : 1
Swansea W
15 Mar
Swansea W
1 : 2
Cardiff City W
28 Feb
Cardiff City W
1 : 3
Wrexham W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710
Promotion - Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier Women (Relegation Group)