Sport Picks

Wales

Premier Women

Cardiff City W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Swansea W play Cardiff City W in the Premier Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Swansea W averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Cardiff City W averaged 2.74 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Swansea W won 0, Cardiff City W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Swansea W and 2.50 for Cardiff City W. This points to a Cardiff City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Swansea W

15%

Draws

45%

Cardiff City W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Swansea W picked up more points recently compared to Cardiff City W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 2.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Swansea W Clean Sheet 10%

Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Swansea W	Cardiff City W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	18	18
Draws	2	4
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	2.6	2.74
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.65
Expected Goals (xG)	3.38	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Swansea W

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Mar 15, 2026 Premier Women

Swansea W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Nov 16, 2025 Premier Women

Swansea W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Sep 28, 2025 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Swansea W

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Feb 2, 2025 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Swansea W

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Deacon A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.6

Avg xA / game 1.69

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cook M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.07

Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 38 / 100

Cardiff City W 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Swansea W Cardiff City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cardiff City W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Swansea W attacking → ← attacking Cardiff City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Cardiff City W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Swansea W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 58

3.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.38

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff City W	14	11	2	1	53:13	35
2	Wrexham W	14	11	1	2	50:20	34
3	Swansea W	14	10	0	4	48:20	30
4	TNS W	14	7	2	5	34:22	23
5	Briton Ferry W	14	5	1	8	29:37	16
6	Aberystwyth W	14	4	1	9	17:34	13
7	Barry Town W	14	4	1	9	22:47	13
8	Pontypridd United W	14	0	0	14	11:71	0