Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U17 vs Moldova U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Caragheorghe N.
8'
Musteata B.
17' Event
Kusi Asare J.
Assist: Vucenovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2024 game between Sweden U17 and Moldova U17 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sweden U17
35%
Draws
25%
Moldova U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sweden U17's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sweden U17 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sweden U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Moldova U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U17 Moldova U17
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 2.34 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Euro U17
Sweden U17 vs Moldova U17
3:2
Sep 21, 2011 Euro U17
Sweden U17 vs Moldova U17
3:0
Oct 25, 2008 Euro U17
Moldova U17 vs Sweden U17
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusi Asare J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Moldova U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caragheorghe N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Efros I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U17 76 / 100
Moldova U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U17 Moldova U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden U17 scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Moldova U17 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sweden U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U17 VS Moldova U17
2.38 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U17

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U17
0 : 5
Sweden U17
28 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 3
Greece U17
25 Mar
Sweden U17
2 : 2
Norway U17
23 Feb
Sweden U17
1 : 1
Poland U17
20 Feb
Estonia U17
0 : 2
Sweden U17
Page 1 of 7

Moldova U17

(Away)
29 Apr
Gibraltar U17
0 : 7
Moldova U17
26 Apr
Finland U17
0 : 0
Moldova U17
23 Apr
Moldova U17
0 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U17
28 Mar
Hungary U17
3 : 1
Moldova U17
14 Oct
Moldova U17
0 : 6
Belarus U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Georgia U17 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Denmark U17 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Lithuania U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Sweden U17 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Latvia U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Moldova U17 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Finland U17 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 Ukraine U17 3 1 1 1 9:3 4
4 Liechtenstein U17 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Slovenia U17 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 Luxembourg U17 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Azerbaijan U17 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U17 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Czech Republic U17 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 Albania U17 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Montenegro U17 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Romania U17 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Norway U17 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
4 Estonia U17 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U17 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Belarus U17 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Scotland U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Kazakhstan U17 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 3 0 0 17:1 9
2 Slovakia U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Malta U17 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
4 North Macedonia U17 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 3 3 0 0 18:1 9
2 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Kosovo U17 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Faroe Islands U17 3 0 0 3 1:17 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Ireland U17 3 1 2 0 4:0 5
3 Iceland U17 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Armenia U17 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Greece U17 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Italy U17 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
3 Northern Ireland U17 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 San Marino U17 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Belgium U17 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
3 Gibraltar U17 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
4 Israel U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bulgaria U17 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Hungary U17 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Andorra U17 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams