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Sweden U19 W vs Finland U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women
Wed, Dec 2, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sweden U19 W host Finland U19 W in the Euro U19 Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sweden U19 W have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Finland U19 W's 1.4 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Sweden U19 W have won 1 to Finland U19 W's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring Finland U19 W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sweden U19 W
20%
Draws
29%
Finland U19 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sweden U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sweden U19 W lately — more wins on the board than Finland U19 W.
  • Model gives Sweden U19 W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Finland U19 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Finland U19 W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U19 W Finland U19 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Friendly International Women
Finland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Finland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
0:4
Oct 26, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Friendly International Women
Finland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1:0
Nov 14, 2022 Friendly International Women
Finland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U19 W 58 / 100
Finland U19 W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U19 W Finland U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Finland U19 W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sweden U19 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Finland U19 W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U19 W VS Finland U19 W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U19 W

(Home)
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
03 Jul
Germany U19 W
2 : 0
Sweden U19 W
30 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
0 : 5
Sweden U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
Page 1 of 6

Finland U19 W

(Away)
15 Apr
Finland U19 W
1 : 2
Denmark U19 W
12 Apr
Finland U19 W
1 : 0
Serbia U19 W
09 Apr
Iceland U19 W
1 : 1
Finland U19 W
05 Mar
Austria U19 W
2 : 1
Finland U19 W
02 Mar
Austria U19 W
3 : 0
Finland U19 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belarus U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Austria U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Northern Ireland U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Scotland U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Spain U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Israel U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Wales U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Greece U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Slovakia U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kosovo U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Finland U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Sweden U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Turkey U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Denmark U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Switzerland U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Netherlands U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Norway U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Slovenia U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 France U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Croatia U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Iceland U19 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U19 Women (Round 2 - League B)