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Sweden U21 vs Finland U21

World World

Friendly International Fredriksskans, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jonsson N.
23' Event
Liimatta O.
46'
Sub
Mellberg J. In: Hilvenius H.
Out: Mellberg J.

AI Match Summary

Finland U21 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sweden U21
20%
Draws
52%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sweden U21.
  • Model gives Finland U21 a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.97 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Finland U21
1:3
Nov 16, 2023 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Finland U21
3:0
Jun 3, 2021 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Finland U21
2:0
Jun 11, 2019 Friendly International
Finland U21 vs Sweden U21
2:3
Jun 13, 2015 Friendly International
Finland U21 vs Sweden U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Liimatta O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korkko J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U21 10 / 100
Finland U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Finland U21 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sweden U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U21 VS Finland U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U21

(Home)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
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Finland U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
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