Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Boras Arena, Boras

Sweden U21

0 - 4

Italy U21

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Koleosho L.

(Penalty)

22'

Koleosho L.

26'

Chiarodia F. C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Italy U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sweden U21

15%

Draws

54%

Italy U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Sweden U21 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
Italy U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Italy U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sweden U21	Italy U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	18
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	4
Goals Scored	1.97	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.53	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Italy U21

0:4

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Sweden U21

4:0

Jun 9, 2022 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Italy U21

1:1

Oct 12, 2021 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Sweden U21

1:1

Nov 18, 2020 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Sweden U21

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Koleosho L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ndour C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U21 10 / 100

Italy U21 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sweden U21 Italy U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sweden U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sweden U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Italy U21 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U21 VS Italy U21

1.25 Goals Scored 2.13

2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U21

(Home)

04 Jun

Sweden U21

1 : 3

Finland U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

27 Mar

Sweden U21

2 : 2

Montenegro U21

18 Nov

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Sweden U21

13 Nov

North Macedonia U21

1 : 4

Sweden U21

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Italy U21

(Away)

08 Jun

Italy U21

1 : 0

Albania U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

26 Mar

Italy U21

4 : 0

North Macedonia U21

18 Nov

Montenegro U21

1 : 4

Italy U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

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