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Sweden U23 W vs Germany U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Spiris Arena
Tue, Jun 4, 2024
3 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bergstrom A.
29' Event
Eriksson S.
46'
Sub
Ritter S. In: Gloning L.
Out: Ritter S.

AI Match Summary

Sweden U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sweden U23 W
20%
Draws
38%
Germany U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Germany U20 W.
  • Model gives Sweden U23 W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 15%
Germany U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Germany U20 W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Germany U20 W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergstrom A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Germany U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zicai C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veit J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 41 / 100
Germany U20 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Germany U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden U23 W scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Germany U20 W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Sweden U23 W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Germany U20 W
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%