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Sweden U23 W vs Portugal U23 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Silva J.
26' Event
Wangerheim E.
Assist: Bergstrom A.
43' Event
Eriksson S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Sweden U23 W and Portugal U23 W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sweden U23 W
15%
Draws
32%
Portugal U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sweden U23 W come out ahead of Portugal U23 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sweden U23 W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sweden U23 W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 68%
Portugal U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Portugal U23 W
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 24 4
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.17 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Portugal U23 W
4:0
Oct 26, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
0:3
Apr 10, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
0:5
Nov 14, 2022 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3
Apr 12, 2022 Friendly International Women
Portugal U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidhammar W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wangerheim E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Portugal U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 86 / 100
Portugal U23 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Portugal U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U23 W scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Portugal U23 W has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sweden U23 W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Portugal U23 W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U23 W

(Home)
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
06 Mar
Romania U23 W
1 : 5
Sweden U23 W
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Portugal U23 W

(Away)
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
05 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 0
Czech Republic U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
01 Dec
Norway U23 W
1 : 0
Portugal U23 W
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