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Sweden vs Algeria

World World

Friendly International 2025 Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sema K.
Assist: Larsson J.
39' Event
Sema K.
Assist: Bernhardsson A.
49'
Gouiri A.

AI Match Summary

Sweden in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sweden
30%
Draws
41%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeria lately — more wins on the board than Sweden.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sweden have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sweden Clean Sheet 10%
Algeria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden Algeria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden vs Algeria
4:3
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Sweden vs Algeria
2:0
Apr 11, 1990 Friendly International
Algeria vs Sweden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Sema K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saletros A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennacer I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benzia Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 34 / 100
Algeria 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden Algeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Sweden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Sweden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Algeria has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sweden VS Algeria
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden

(Home)
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
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Algeria

(Away)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
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