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Sweden vs Algeria

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Friendly International 2025 Strawberry Arena
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AI Match Summary

Sweden play Algeria in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sweden averaged 2 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Algeria averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Sweden won 2, Algeria won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2025 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Sweden and 2.19 for Algeria. This points to a Algeria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sweden
28%
Draws
50%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Algeria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sweden.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Algeria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sweden Clean Sheet 10%
Algeria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden Algeria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden vs Algeria
4:3
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Sweden vs Algeria
2:0
Apr 11, 1990 Friendly International
Algeria vs Sweden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Sema K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saletros A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennacer I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benzia Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 22 / 100
Algeria 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden Algeria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Algeria let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Sweden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Algeria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden VS Algeria
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%