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World Championship 2026 Nya Ullevi

Kosovo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sweden play Kosovo in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sweden averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Kosovo averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Sweden won 3, Kosovo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Sweden and 1.69 for Kosovo. This points to a Kosovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sweden

15%

Draws

43%

Kosovo

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kosovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Sweden picked up more points recently compared to Kosovo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Sweden Clean Sheet 13%

Kosovo Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sweden	Kosovo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	16
Draws	5	4
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.93	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2025 World Championship

Sweden vs Kosovo

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Sep 8, 2025 World Championship

Kosovo vs Sweden

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Oct 9, 2021 World Championship

Sweden vs Kosovo

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Mar 28, 2021 World Championship

Kosovo vs Sweden

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Jan 12, 2020 Friendly International

Sweden vs Kosovo

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Kosovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Asllani F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 40 / 100

Kosovo 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sweden Kosovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kosovo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sweden attacking → ← attacking Kosovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Kosovo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sweden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kosovo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 52

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0