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Sweden vs Serbia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024 Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Milinkovic-Savic S.
Assist: Zivkovic A.
45'
Lukic S.
45'
Milenkovic N.

AI Match Summary

Serbia in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serbia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sweden
15%
Draws
26%
Serbia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden have won more games recently than Serbia.
  • Sweden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Serbia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sweden Clean Sheet 16%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden Serbia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Sweden vs Serbia
0:3
Sep 24, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Sweden
4:1
Jun 9, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Sweden vs Serbia
0:1
Jun 5, 2012 Friendly International
Sweden vs Serbia
2:1
Apr 1, 2009 Friendly International
Serbia vs Sweden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitrovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 84 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden Serbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sweden scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Serbia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Sweden went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden VS Serbia
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden

(Home)
28 Sept
Sweden
3 : 1
Poland
25 Sept
Sweden
2 : 1
Romania
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
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Serbia

(Away)
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
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