Sport Picks

Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction & H2H Stats

World

World Championship 2026 Strawberry Arena, Solna

Sweden

1 - 1

Slovenia

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Zeneli B.

38'

Sub

Sema K. In: Forsberg E.

Out: Sema K.

64'

Elsnik T.

Assist: Sporar A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Sweden and Slovenia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Sweden

35%

Draws

25%

Slovenia

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sweden come out ahead of Slovenia on wins alone.
Sweden are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sweden Clean Sheet 14%

Slovenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sweden	Slovenia
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	8
Draws	6	13
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.97	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Sweden vs Slovenia

1:1

Sep 5, 2025 World Championship

Slovenia vs Sweden

2:2

Sep 27, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Sweden vs Slovenia

1:1

Jun 2, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Slovenia vs Sweden

0:2

May 30, 2016 Friendly International

Sweden vs Slovenia

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundgren G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Slovenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Elsnik T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 41 / 100

Slovenia 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sweden Slovenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Slovenia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sweden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sweden VS Slovenia

2 Goals Scored 1

2.25 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 38%

75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden

(Home)

02 Oct

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1 : 1

Sweden

28 Sept

Sweden

3 : 1

Poland

25 Sept

Sweden

2 : 1

Romania

30 Jun

France

3 : 0

Sweden

25 Jun

Japan

1 : 1

Sweden

Page 1 of 6

Slovenia

(Away)

03 Oct

Switzerland

2 : 1

Slovenia

29 Sept

Slovenia

2 : 0

North Macedonia

26 Sept

Slovenia

0 : 0

Scotland

07 Jun

Croatia

2 : 1

Slovenia

04 Jun

Slovenia

1 : 1

Cyprus

Page 1 of 6