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Swetes vs Aston Villa

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Swetes Logo

Swetes

2 - 3
FT
Aston Villa Logo

Aston Villa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Swetes and Aston Villa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Swetes
20%
Draws
38%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swetes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Aston Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aston Villa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Swetes Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swetes Aston Villa
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 10 24
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.52 3.11
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Swetes vs Aston Villa
1:6
Apr 23, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Swetes
1:2
Nov 28, 2022 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Swetes
2:1
Mar 17, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Swetes vs Aston Villa
2:3
Dec 30, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Swetes vs Aston Villa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swetes 14 / 100
Aston Villa 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swetes Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swetes scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Aston Villa let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Swetes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Swetes

(Home)
05 May
SAP
1 : 5
Swetes
29 Apr
All Saints United
5 : 2
Swetes
15 Apr
Garden Stars
1 : 3
Swetes
06 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
3 : 0
Swetes
01 Apr
Empire FC
1 : 2
Swetes
Page 1 of 7

Aston Villa

(Away)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
18 Apr
Aston Villa
9 : 0
Jennings Utd
11 Apr
Aston Villa
1 : 7
Grenades
04 Apr
Ottos Rangers
2 : 2
Aston Villa
28 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)