Sport Picks
Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
54'
54'
Ploshchynskyi A.
57'
57'
Zbroinski B.
90'
90'
Herkt P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Swidniczanka Swidnik and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow come out ahead of Swidniczanka Swidnik on wins alone.
- Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Swidniczanka Swidnik Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swidniczanka Swidnik | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Swidniczanka Swidnik
3:1
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Swidniczanka Swidnik
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swidniczanka Swidnik Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Ploshchynskyi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zbroinski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swidniczanka Swidnik 10 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swidniczanka Swidnik Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Swidniczanka Swidnik's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Swidniczanka Swidnik VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Swidniczanka Swidnik
(Home) 30 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
3 : 1 Swidniczanka Swidnik
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 May
Biala Podlaska
3 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
01 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
25 Apr
Swidniczanka Swidnik
4 : 1 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
11 Apr
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 : 4 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 3
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1 Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
09 May
Korona Kielce II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)