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Swieqi vs Mqabba FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2022/2023 game between Swieqi and Mqabba FC finished 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Swieqi
6%
Draws
4%
Mqabba FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swieqi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swieqi come out ahead of Mqabba FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Swieqi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Swieqi Clean Sheet 16%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swieqi Mqabba FC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Mqabba FC
2:0
Dec 10, 2022 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Mqabba FC
5:5
Dec 13, 2020 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Swieqi
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs Swieqi
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Mqabba FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swieqi 84 / 100
Mqabba FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swieqi Mqabba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swieqi scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Mqabba FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Swieqi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swieqi VS Mqabba FC
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Swieqi

(Home)
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2
Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
Swieqi
5 : 0
Melita
14 Mar
Balzan FC
1 : 2
Swieqi
Page 1 of 7

Mqabba FC

(Away)
04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0
Mqabba FC
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sliema17152040:1047
2Naxxar Lions17132240:1541
3Zejtun17110635:2233
4Tarxien1795334:1932
5Zurrieq1792633:2829
6Melita1775529:2226
7Fgura1774641:2525
8Marsa1766527:2324
9Swieqi1766533:3124
10St. Andrews1764723:2722
11Lija1755728:3220
12Attard1754819:3019
13San Gwann1753920:3418
14Marsaskala FC17431028:3915
15Mqabba FC17431021:3615
16Qrendi1735919:3614
17Mtarfa17421111:2814
18Vittoriosa17311314:3810
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)