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Swindon Supermarine vs Walton Casuals

England England

Southern League South Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Campbell R.
35' Event
Spalding H.
48' Event
Phillips K.

AI Match Summary

Swindon Supermarine in this Southern League South Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swindon Supermarine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Swindon Supermarine
44%
Draws
20%
Walton Casuals
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Walton Casuals haven't matched Swindon Supermarine's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Swindon Supermarine Clean Sheet 16%
Walton Casuals Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon Supermarine Walton Casuals
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Walton Casuals
6:1
Oct 16, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Swindon Supermarine
1:1
Mar 13, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Walton Casuals
0:0
Nov 7, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Swindon Supermarine
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Southern League Premier South
Walton Casuals vs Swindon Supermarine
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swindon Supermarine Compare

Top Goalscorer Spalding H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Campbell R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Walton Casuals Compare

Top Goalscorer Liddle A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon Supermarine 36 / 100
Walton Casuals 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon Supermarine Walton Casuals

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swindon Supermarine's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Walton Casuals let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Swindon Supermarine has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Swindon Supermarine VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon Supermarine

(Home)
04 Jul
Swindon
4 : 0
Swindon Supermarine
20 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 2
Bideford
13 Sept
Hungerford
3 : 0
Swindon Supermarine
06 Sept
Exmouth Town
1 : 2
Swindon Supermarine
30 Aug
Tavistock
1 : 4
Swindon Supermarine
Page 1 of 7

Walton Casuals

(Away)
23 Apr
Walton Casuals
1 : 1
Dorchester
18 Apr
Harrow Borough
0 : 0
Walton Casuals
16 Apr
Walton Casuals
3 : 2
Tiverton
09 Apr
Truro
2 : 0
Walton Casuals
05 Apr
Walton Casuals
0 : 3
Yate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Taunton Town42287783:4291
2Hayes & Yeading422688100:3986
3Farnborough42267973:4485
4Metropolitan Police42249972:4681
5Weston-super-Mare422391072:4178
6Chesham422211980:5077
7Yate422191266:4872
8Truro4220101262:5470
9Gosport Borough421991465:5666
10Poole Town421971674:6964
11Walton Casuals4216101653:6158
12Swindon Supermarine421691763:6357
13Tiverton421581961:6353
14Harrow Borough421572062:7752
15Salisbury421392049:7548
16Hendon421452358:7047
17Beaconsfield Town421372270:9246
18Hartley Wintney421352456:7544
19Dorchester421252541:5841
20Kings Langley429102349:6837
21Merthyr Town42682847:9426
22Wimborne42473135:10619
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)