Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Woods J.
Assist: Mols S.
31'
31'
Hungbo J.
Assist: Butler D.
46'
46'
Sub
Coyle L. In: Henderson A.
Out: Coyle L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Swindon have won more games recently than Accrington.
- Model gives Accrington a 62% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swindon Clean Sheet 13%
Accrington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swindon | Accrington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Accrington
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Accrington
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Accrington vs Swindon
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Accrington
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 FA Cup
Accrington vs Swindon
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swindon Compare
Top Goalscorer Hungbo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Woods J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swindon 11 / 100
Accrington 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swindon Accrington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Accrington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Swindon scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Accrington conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Swindon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Swindon VS Accrington
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Swindon
(Home) 26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 3
Accrington
(Away) 26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3 Sunderland U21
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2 Accrington
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0 Accrington
08 Aug
Crewe
2 : 1 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
