Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Kouassi K.
Assist: Sesay M.
46'
46'
Sub
Clarke O. In: Middlemas B.
Out: Clarke O.
46'
46'
Sub
Kirkman B. In: Majekodunmi K.
Out: Kirkman B.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Swindon and Colchester finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swindon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Colchester have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Swindon are scoring more at 1.37.
- Model gives Swindon a 44% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Swindon Clean Sheet 16%
Colchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swindon | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Colchester
3:1
Apr 10, 2026 League Two
Colchester vs Swindon
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Colchester
0:0
Jan 1, 2025 League Two
Swindon vs Colchester
3:2
Dec 3, 2024 League Two
Colchester vs Swindon
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swindon Compare
Top Goalscorer Drinan A.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Colchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Kouassi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swindon 57 / 100
Colchester 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swindon Colchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swindon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Swindon scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Colchester let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Swindon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Swindon VS Colchester
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Swindon
(Home) 19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0 Swindon
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1 Cheltenham
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 3
Colchester
(Away) 19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
29 Aug
Colchester
1 : 0 Rochdale
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
15 Aug
Accrington
2 : 2 Colchester
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
18 Jul
Harlow
0 : 5 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
