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Stadium Background

Swindon vs Rotherham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two County Ground, Swindon
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Buyabu J.
42'
Sub
Ball J. In: Hungbo J.
Out: Ball J.
45' Event
Thomson J.
Assist: Butler D.

AI Match Summary

Swindon in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swindon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Swindon
35%
Draws
13%
Rotherham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swindon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rotherham haven't matched Swindon's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Swindon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Swindon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Swindon Clean Sheet 20%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon Rotherham
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Rotherham
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Rotherham vs Swindon
1:2
May 3, 2014 League One
Swindon vs Rotherham
1:2
Oct 12, 2013 League One
Rotherham vs Swindon
0:4
Jan 14, 2012 League Two
Rotherham vs Swindon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swindon Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hungbo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon 85 / 100
Rotherham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon Rotherham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swindon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotherham has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Swindon found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Swindon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swindon VS Rotherham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon

(Home)
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0
Swindon
20 Oct
Barnet
1 : 3
Swindon
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1
Walsall
10 Oct
Swindon
0 : 1
Crewe
Page 1 of 6

Rotherham

(Away)
03 Nov
Rotherham
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2
Newport
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Rotherham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)