Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Sub
Chang A. In: Jellis J.
Out: Chang A.
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Hoilett J. In: Olakigbe M.
Out: Hoilett J.
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Ball J. In: Palmer O.
Out: Ball J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Swindon and Walsall finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swindon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Very High Confidence
- Walsall haven't matched Swindon's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Swindon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Swindon Clean Sheet 68%
Walsall Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swindon | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Swindon vs Walsall
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Swindon
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Walsall vs Swindon
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 League Two
Swindon vs Walsall
0:4
Apr 16, 2024 League Two
Walsall vs Swindon
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swindon Compare
Top Goalscorer Holman F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Drinan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Walsall Compare
Top Goalscorer Jellis J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swindon 95 / 100
Walsall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swindon Walsall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swindon scored in 89% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Walsall conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Swindon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Swindon VS Walsall
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Swindon
(Home) 01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4 Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3 Bristol City
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
14 Jul
Swindon
0 : 1 Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1 Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3 Bristol City
14 Jul
Swindon
0 : 1 Chippenham Town
04 Jul
Swindon
4 : 0 Swindon Supermarine
02 May
Swindon
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
Walsall
(Away) 06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5 Aston Villa
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0 Walsall
02 May
Bromley
3 : 1 Walsall
18 Apr
Barrow
1 : 3 Walsall
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
